BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
North Carolina 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
North Carolina 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
33.25 |
35.38 (+2.13) |
34.55 |
38.16 (+3.62) |
38.16 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
462.33 |
500.46 (+38.13) |
495.73 |
524.56 (+28.84) |
524.56 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
6.30 |
6.71 (+0.41) |
6.58 |
6.99 (+0.41) |
6.99 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
31.58 |
32.03 (+0.45) |
28.91 |
27.64 (-1.27) |
27.64 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
446.83 |
457.07 (+10.23) |
416.27 |
429.23 (+12.96) |
429.23 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.16 |
6.40 (+0.24) |
5.65 |
5.64 (-0.01) |
5.64 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.6 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
South Carolina |
34.12 |
29.65 |
-4.47 |
63.76 |
57.16% |
W 31-17 |
1-0 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Appalachian State |
48.26 |
32.85 |
-15.41 |
81.12 |
74.71% |
W 40-34 |
2-0 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Minnesota |
40.70 |
25.20 |
-15.49 |
65.90 |
74.85% |
W 31-13 |
3-0 |
| 2023-09-24 |
@Pittsburgh |
36.56 |
23.76 |
-12.81 |
60.32 |
70.54% |
W 41-24 |
4-0 |
| 2023-10-07 |
Syracuse |
38.31 |
22.55 |
-15.76 |
60.86 |
75.27% |
W 40-7 |
5-0 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Miami |
33.31 |
35.05 |
+1.74 |
68.36 |
47.21% |
W 41-31 |
6-0 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Virginia |
45.43 |
27.64 |
-17.79 |
73.07 |
78.53% |
L 27-31 |
6-1 |
| 2023-10-29 |
@Georgia Tech |
41.36 |
36.07 |
-5.29 |
77.43 |
58.48% |
L 42-46 |
6-2 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Campbell |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 59-7 |
7-2 |
| 2023-11-12 |
Duke |
29.90 |
32.02 |
+2.12 |
61.92 |
46.60% |
W 47-45 |
8-2 |
| 2023-11-18 |
@Clemson |
24.54 |
33.45 |
+8.91 |
57.99 |
35.70% |
L 20-31 |
8-3 |
| 2023-11-26 |
@NC State |
27.65 |
31.96 |
+4.31 |
59.61 |
43.09% |
L 20-39 |
8-4 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-27 |
@West Virginia |
35.38 |
36.62 |
+1.23 |
72.00 |
48.02% |
L 10-30 |
8-5 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 8-5 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.00% |
| 2-11 |
0.02% |
| 3-10 |
0.21% |
| 4-9 |
1.15% |
| 5-8 |
4.09% |
| 6-7 |
10.69% |
| 7-6 |
18.97% |
| 8-5 |
24.15% |
| 9-4 |
21.10% |
| 10-3 |
13.04% |
| 11-2 |
5.20% |
| 12-1 |
1.26% |
| 13-0 |
0.13% |